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 | Acceso al texto completo restringido a Biblioteca INIA Treinta y Tres. Por información adicional contacte bibliott@inia.org.uy. |
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Biblioteca (s) : |
INIA Treinta y Tres. |
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Fecha : |
28/03/2016 |
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Actualizado : |
24/09/2018 |
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Tipo de producción científica : |
Artículos en Revistas Indexadas Internacionales |
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Autor : |
BASSU, S.; BRISSON, N.; DURAND, J.L.; BOOTE, K.; LIZASO, J.; JONES, J.W.; ROSENZWEIG, C.; RUANE, A.C.; ADAM, M.; BARON, C.; BASSO, B.; BIERNATH, C.; BOOGAARD, H.; CONIJN, S.; CORBEELS, M.L; DERYNG, D.; SANTIS, G. DE; GAYLER, S.; GRASSINI, P.; HATFIELD, J.; HOEK, S.; IZAURRALDE, C.; JONGSCHAAP, R.; KEMANIAN, A.R.; KERSEBAUM, C.KIM, S-H.; KUMAR, N.; MAKOWSKI, D.; MÜLLER, C.; NENDEL, C.; PRIESACK, E.; PRAVIA, V.; SAU, F.; SHCHERBAK, I.; TAO, F.; TEXEIRA, E.; TIMLIN, D.; WAHA, K. |
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Afiliación : |
MARIA VIRGINIA PRAVIA NIN, INIA (Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria), Uruguay; Department of Plant Science, The Pennsylvania State University, USA. |
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Título : |
How do various maize crop models vary in their responses to climate change factors? |
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Fecha de publicación : |
2014 |
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Fuente / Imprenta : |
Global Change Biology, 2014, v.20(7), p. 2301-2320. |
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DOI : |
10.1111/gcb.12520 |
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Idioma : |
Inglés |
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Notas : |
Article history: Received 7 June 2013 and accepted 2 December 2013, published 2014. |
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Contenido : |
Abstract:
Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania).
While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2] among models. Model responses to temperature and [CO2] did not differ whether models were simulated with low calibration information or, simulated with high level of calibration information. MenosAbstract:
Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania).
While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2]... Presentar Todo |
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Palabras claves : |
AGMIP; CARBON DIOXIDE; CLIMATE; CO2; GRAIN YIELD; MAIZE; MODEL INTERCOMPARISON; MODELIZACIÓN DE CULTIVOS; SIMULATION MODELS; TEMPERATURE. |
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Thesagro : |
CLIMA; DIOXIDO DE CARBONO; INCERTIDUMBRE; MAÍZ; MODELOS DE SIMULACIÓN; TEMPERATURA. |
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Asunto categoría : |
U10 Métodos matemáticos y estadísticos |
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Marc : |
LEADER 03684naa a2200769 a 4500
001 1054517
005 2018-09-24
008 2014 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d
024 7 $a10.1111/gcb.12520$2DOI
100 1 $aBASSU, S.
245 $aHow do various maize crop models vary in their responses to climate change factors?$h[electronic resource]
260 $c2014
500 $aArticle history: Received 7 June 2013 and accepted 2 December 2013, published 2014.
520 $aAbstract: Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania). While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2] among models. Model responses to temperature and [CO2] did not differ whether models were simulated with low calibration information or, simulated with high level of calibration information.
650 $aCLIMA
650 $aDIOXIDO DE CARBONO
650 $aINCERTIDUMBRE
650 $aMAÍZ
650 $aMODELOS DE SIMULACIÓN
650 $aTEMPERATURA
653 $aAGMIP
653 $aCARBON DIOXIDE
653 $aCLIMATE
653 $aCO2
653 $aGRAIN YIELD
653 $aMAIZE
653 $aMODEL INTERCOMPARISON
653 $aMODELIZACIÓN DE CULTIVOS
653 $aSIMULATION MODELS
653 $aTEMPERATURE
700 1 $aBRISSON, N.
700 1 $aDURAND, J.L.
700 1 $aBOOTE, K.
700 1 $aLIZASO, J.
700 1 $aJONES, J.W.
700 1 $aROSENZWEIG, C.
700 1 $aRUANE, A.C.
700 1 $aADAM, M.
700 1 $aBARON, C.
700 1 $aBASSO, B.
700 1 $aBIERNATH, C.
700 1 $aBOOGAARD, H.
700 1 $aCONIJN, S.
700 1 $aCORBEELS, M.L
700 1 $aDERYNG, D.
700 1 $aSANTIS, G. DE
700 1 $aGAYLER, S.
700 1 $aGRASSINI, P.
700 1 $aHATFIELD, J.
700 1 $aHOEK, S.
700 1 $aIZAURRALDE, C.
700 1 $aJONGSCHAAP, R.
700 1 $aKEMANIAN, A.R.
700 1 $aKERSEBAUM, C.KIM, S-H.
700 1 $aKUMAR, N.
700 1 $aMAKOWSKI, D.
700 1 $aMÜLLER, C.
700 1 $aNENDEL, C.
700 1 $aPRIESACK, E.
700 1 $aPRAVIA, V.
700 1 $aSAU, F.
700 1 $aSHCHERBAK, I.
700 1 $aTAO, F.
700 1 $aTEXEIRA, E.
700 1 $aTIMLIN, D.
700 1 $aWAHA, K.
773 $tGlobal Change Biology, 2014$gv.20(7), p. 2301-2320.
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Registro original : |
INIA Treinta y Tres (TT) |
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Registro completo
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Biblioteca (s) : |
INIA Las Brujas. |
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Fecha actual : |
21/02/2014 |
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Actualizado : |
01/06/2023 |
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Tipo de producción científica : |
Abstracts/Resúmenes |
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Autor : |
DUARTE, F.; CALVO, V.; BORGES, A.; GARCÍA, C.; FRANCO, J.; NUÑEZ, S.; RIBES-DASI, M.; SCATONI, I. |
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Afiliación : |
SATURNINO NUÑEZ BUA, INIA (Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria), Uruguay. |
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Título : |
Caracterización espacial de Cydia molesta (Busck) (Lepidoptera: Tortricidae) en durazneros de la zona sur de Uruguay mediante métodos geoestadísticos. [resumen] |
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Complemento del título : |
Protección Frutícola. |
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Fecha de publicación : |
2010 |
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Fuente / Imprenta : |
ln: Congreso Nacional de Horti-Fruticultura, 12. Jornadas Regionales de Manejo Poscosecha de Frutas. Seminario Suelos en Horticultura. Seminario Frutales de Pepita. 20-23 octubre 2012, Montevideo (UY) Trabajos presentados. Montevideo (UY): INIA; SUHF, 2010. p.55. |
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Idioma : |
Español |
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Notas : |
Tesis de maestría en Ciencias Agrarias del primer autor, trabajo financiado por el Fondo de Promoción de Tecnología Agropecuaria (FPTA) del Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria (INIA) (Proyecto FPTA 207) |
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Contenido : |
Grafolita (Cydia molesta) afecta sistemáticamente a duraznero y es plaga secundaria de manzano y peral. Los objetivos del trabajo fueron: caracterizar la distribución espacial de grafolita en durazneros mediante métodos geoestadísticos y determinar si existen diferencias en las fluctuaciones poblacionales de las localidades del área de estudio. |
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Thesagro : |
FRUTICULTURA; GRAFOLITA; PROTECCION VEGETAL. |
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Asunto categoría : |
--
A50 Investigación agraria |
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URL : |
http://www.ainfo.inia.uy/digital/bitstream/item/17185/1/SUFH-2010-p.55.pdf
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Marc : |
LEADER 01518naa a2200253 a 4500
001 1011989
005 2023-06-01
008 2010 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d
100 1 $aDUARTE, F.
245 $aCaracterización espacial de Cydia molesta (Busck) (Lepidoptera$bTortricidae) en durazneros de la zona sur de Uruguay mediante métodos geoestadísticos. [resumen]
260 $c2010
500 $aTesis de maestría en Ciencias Agrarias del primer autor, trabajo financiado por el Fondo de Promoción de Tecnología Agropecuaria (FPTA) del Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria (INIA) (Proyecto FPTA 207)
520 $aGrafolita (Cydia molesta) afecta sistemáticamente a duraznero y es plaga secundaria de manzano y peral. Los objetivos del trabajo fueron: caracterizar la distribución espacial de grafolita en durazneros mediante métodos geoestadísticos y determinar si existen diferencias en las fluctuaciones poblacionales de las localidades del área de estudio.
650 $aFRUTICULTURA
650 $aGRAFOLITA
650 $aPROTECCION VEGETAL
700 1 $aCALVO, V.
700 1 $aBORGES, A.
700 1 $aGARCÍA, C.
700 1 $aFRANCO, J.
700 1 $aNUÑEZ, S.
700 1 $aRIBES-DASI, M.
700 1 $aSCATONI, I.
773 $tln: Congreso Nacional de Horti-Fruticultura, 12. Jornadas Regionales de Manejo Poscosecha de Frutas. Seminario Suelos en Horticultura. Seminario Frutales de Pepita. 20-23 octubre 2012, Montevideo (UY) Trabajos presentados. Montevideo (UY): INIA; SUHF, 2010. p.55.
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